Markets showed mixed performance this week as US equities rebounded, Europe and Asia remained cautious, and Bitcoin saw renewed volatility. Goldman Sachs and Barclays both warned of rising recession risks due to ongoing trade tensions. UK wealth firms like SJP, HL, and Quilter reported strategic shifts amid regulatory and economic pressures. With new tax rules in effect, investors are urged to plan early using pensions, ISAs, and CGT strategies to maximise reliefs
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US markets rallied on optimism about the Federal Reserve’s soft landing, while European and Asian markets showed resilience amid economic uncertainty.
Get Help >This week, global markets saw modest recoveries in the US, continued pressure in Europe, and mixed results in Asia, while Bitcoin fluctuated around $92,000. UK investors face a shifting tax landscape, with new rules on inheritance tax, pensions, and capital gains heightening the importance of early-year financial planning. Barclays and Morgan Stanley both downgraded outlooks, citing trade tensions and the likelihood of extended inflation, while St. James’s Place reported strong Q1 inflows and continues its cost-cutting strategy. Meanwhile, Hargreaves Lansdown moves forward under new ownership, with co-founder Peter Hargreaves returning to guide the firm’s direction. Investors are urged to review pensions, ISAs, and estate plans early in the tax year to maximise reliefs and navigate uncertainty effectively.
U.S. equity markets experienced a notable rebound this week, with the S&P 500 rising 1.7% to close at 5,375.86, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increasing by 1.1% to 39,606.57, and the Nasdaq Composite surging by 2.5% to 16,708.05. This uptick was largely driven by President Trump's softened stance on tariffs and reassurances regarding Federal Reserve leadership, which eased investor concerns and contributed to a decline in Treasury yields.
European markets faced continued pressure amid ongoing trade uncertainties. France's CAC 40 declined by 0.9%, Germany's DAX by 1.0%, and the UK's FTSE 100 by 0.3%. Investor sentiment remains cautious as the region grapples with the implications of U.S. trade policies and potential retaliatory measures.
Asian markets presented a mixed picture. Japan's Nikkei 225 and Australia's ASX 200 posted gains of 0.5% and 0.6%, respectively, while South Korea's KOSPI and Hong Kong's Hang Seng experienced declines. China's Shanghai Composite remained relatively flat, reflecting investor uncertainty amid global trade developments.
Bitcoin experienced volatility this week, reaching a high of $94,322 before retreating to approximately $92,088. The cryptocurrency market remains sensitive to macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment.
With markets buffeted by trade tensions, central bank policy shifts, and geopolitical uncertainty, it’s natural for investors to question whether now is the right time to make financial decisions. But periods of volatility often provide an opportunity to reassess — not retreat — from long-term planning. Now more than ever, a clear financial strategy remains essential. Staying invested and diversified across a range of asset classes, sectors and regions can help manage downside risk and capture growth when markets recover. Attempting to time the market — selling during dips and waiting for the "right time" to re-enter — often results in missed opportunities and reduced returns over the long run. Wealth managers play a vital role in helping clients navigate through noise. From reviewing portfolio allocations to adjusting risk profiles and exploring alternative investments like infrastructure, private equity or credit, a good adviser brings calm and clarity when it’s needed most. Whether your goals are growth, income, or capital preservation, sticking to a plan built on sound fundamentals is what helps deliver results — even when headlines are turbulent.
Barclays has revised its 2025 year-end target for the S&P 500 downward from 6,600 to 5,900, citing escalating trade tensions and their potential impact on corporate earnings. The bank anticipates that tariffs could reduce earnings per share by 1.6%, with further declines possible if retaliatory measures are enacted. While Barclays does not currently forecast a full-blown recession, it acknowledges that recession risks have increased, especially if tariffs lead to significant economic contraction.
Morgan Stanley has adjusted its monetary policy outlook, now expecting the Federal Reserve to maintain current interest rates throughout 2025 due to anticipated inflationary pressures from recent tariff implementations. The firm suggests that any rate cuts are unlikely until 2026, as the Fed navigates the dual challenges of managing inflation and supporting economic growth.
St. James’s Place reported a strong start to 2025, with gross inflows of £5.14 billion in Q1, up from £3.97 billion in the same period last year. Net inflows more than doubled to £1.69 billion, reflecting heightened client engagement despite ongoing market volatility. Funds under management stood at £188.59 billion as of 31 March, slightly down from the previous quarter due to global market declines. CEO Mark FitzPatrick highlighted the resilience of SJP’s advice-led model, noting that advisers continue to support clients in navigating uncertain economic conditions. The firm is progressing with key initiatives, including a simplified charging structure set to launch this summer and a comprehensive review of historic client servicing records. Additionally, SJP is implementing a cost and efficiency programme aimed at achieving £100 million in annual savings by 2027, with a cumulative target of £500 million by 2030. This includes a planned reduction of approximately 500 roles, focusing on streamlining operations while maintaining adviser support.
Following its £5.4 billion acquisition by a consortium including CVC Capital Partners, Nordic Capital, and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Hargreaves Lansdown has undergone significant leadership changes. Co-founder Peter Hargreaves is set to return to the board as a non-executive director, a decade after stepping down. His son, Robert Hargreaves, will join as a board observer. The acquisition, completed in March 2025, led to the company's delisting from the London Stock Exchange. The new ownership structure aims to enhance HL’s competitiveness by investing in technology and potentially reducing fees to better serve its 1.9 million clients managing £157.3 billion in assets.
Quilter plc, a prominent UK wealth management firm, reported £2.2 billion in net inflows during the first quarter of 2025, primarily driven by its mass affluent segment. Despite these substantial inflows, the firm's assets under management (AUM) experienced only a slight increase from £119.4 billion to £119.6 billion by the end of March. This modest growth is attributed to market declines and currency fluctuations that offset the positive impact of new client investments. Chief Executive Steven Levin commented on the firm's performance, stating, "Market indices weakened during the first quarter, with the impact of this broadly offsetting our net inflow performance." He also noted that the second quarter has seen significant volatility across all asset classes, as bond and equity markets have reacted to proposed US tariffs. Quilter's resilience in attracting new investments amid challenging market conditions underscores its strong client relationships and the effectiveness of its wealth management strategies. The firm's ability to maintain positive net inflows during periods of economic uncertainty highlights its position as a trusted advisor in the UK wealth management sector.
With the 2024/25 tax year now closed, attention turns to the opportunities available in the new 2025/26 tax year. Ongoing changes to tax policy — including inheritance tax reforms, pension taxation, and capital gains allowances — mean that thoughtful planning is more important than ever. Pension Contributions Remain a Key Planning Tool For high earners, pension contributions continue to offer valuable tax relief at your marginal rate. With the annual allowance still set at £60,000 (subject to tapering for those with adjusted income over £260,000), now is the time to review both current and carry-forward allowances to make the most of unused relief. ISAs for Tax-Free Growth The ISA allowance remains at £20,000 per individual for the 2025/26 tax year. While no immediate tax relief is given on contributions, all income and gains are free of tax — making ISAs a core component of long-term tax efficiency, especially for younger investors and those planning for retirement outside of pensions. Capital Gains Tax (CGT) Strategy The CGT annual exemption sits at £3,000 per person in 2025/26. Planning disposals strategically across tax years, using loss harvesting and considering inter-spousal transfers, can help mitigate CGT bills. Business owners should also consider Entrepreneurs’ Relief or Business Asset Disposal Relief, where available. Inheritance Tax (IHT) Planning Grows More Urgent With frozen thresholds and rising asset values, more estates are falling into the IHT net. From April 2027, pensions will begin to form part of the taxable estate — reducing a key historical planning advantage. Individuals should consider lifetime gifting strategies, discounted gift trusts, or business relief qualifying assets such as AIM portfolios. Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs) and Enterprise Investment Schemes (EIS) For experienced investors, VCTs and EIS continue to offer attractive reliefs — including 30% income tax relief, CGT deferral, and IHT advantages for certain EIS investments held for two years. These are particularly relevant for clients seeking diversification and long-term growth with tax incentives. The key takeaway? Early action in the tax year provides more flexibility. Whether it’s making use of allowances, aligning investment wrappers, or planning for intergenerational wealth transfer, now is the time to review your strategy.
Retirement is often described as life's longest holiday. Check out our articles, tips and guides to make sure your retirement pot lasts the distance.
Check out our articles, tips and guidesto make sure your retirement pot lasts thedistance.
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